The Supply & Demand of Business Transition Advice and Planning

This newsletters is written to make business owners aware of the needs for advice for the future transition of a business.  According to the U.S. Census Bureau statistics, there are nearly 30 million businesses in the United States today, meaning that a majority of these businesses will require a process other than an Initial Public Offering (IPO) of stock in order to achieve liquidity or turn the company stock (or assets) into cash.  Our objective in this newsletter is to bring a few of these facts to light and provide some guidance as to who may be a buyer of your business in the future.

A Wide Base of the Triangle

The majority of businesses in the United States today are ‘small’ businesses – enterprise values of less than a few million dollars.  The following chart illustrates the wide base of small businesses relative to the very small number of large, publicly traded businesses (organized by the number of employees within each organization) that sit at the top of the pyramid.

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U.S. Census Bureau Statistics – http://censtats.census.gov/cgi-bin/cbpnaic/cbpsect.pl

Implications for the Exiting Business Owner
Since a large number of business owners are Baby Boomers, this means that as the Baby Boomers begin to exit these businesses through retirement, the supply will likely outweigh the demand for business ownership. 

Size Matters

To put this challenge into even greater perspective, it needs to be stated that smaller business owners are generally going to have a harder time with their exit than larger businesses.  Small businesses are often times more dependent upon the individual efforts of the owners of the business.  As a result, many owners of smaller businesses are actually not selling an enterprise, rather they are selling a job.  It is helpful for owners to understand the difference and to be aware of what, if anything they are able to sell to someone else.

Timing and the Economy Matters

As we enter 2015, we are seeing an improved economy and a willingness of buyers and investors to ‘come back into the market’ to acquire businesses.  These factors have a large impact on your business exit.  Remember that it was not so long ago when we faced a global financial crisis and the depressed economy created a reduced demand for the purchase of any businesses. 

Given that markets run in cycles, it is not a question as to whether or not there will be another recession, but rather, when it will occur.  And, since recessions tend to last for a few years (on average), you need to consider your age and how much longer you want to continue to own your business if you have not started executing an exit transaction in the next few years.

With the first Baby Boomers turning 69 years old in 2015, the next economic slow-down may result in many of these exiting owners holding onto their enterprises for another few years.  When the economy does eventually recover, these leading Boomers will be in their mid-seventies.  At that point in time, we can forecast that many will be anxious to exit their businesses as retirement draws closer and closer.  These forecasts, if correct, will result in a glut of businesses in need of buyers or successors.  Without many buyers or successors available, the challenges increase.  

Protect Your Wealth, Start Planning Today

You should begin to consider your exit strategy planning today in order to protect the wealth that is trapped in your illiquid business.  Plan your exit and work that plan.  This way, you will be prepared no matter what the financial and economic markets bring.  A well thought out exit strategy plan is your best approach towards reaching your exit goal.

BERI Report

Below is a link to a 10 minute, 20 question online assessment that can assist you in determining your financial and mental readiness for your exit.  There is no fee to take the assessment and your answers are sent immediately to your e-mail and kept completely confidential. 


Business Exit Readiness Index Owner’s report

As a business owner who may be thinking through the eventual exit from their business, this complimentary online assessment may be the ideal starting point.  And, after receiving your Business Exit Readiness Index Owner’s report, you may want to take a follow up meeting to discuss your answers further and gain more clarity on how you will have a successful exit in the future.